Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 5.496523 6.012096 6.576495 7.244246 8.017997 8.892905 9.966451
2025-02-23 4.725994 5.434007 6.271063 7.350405 8.730914 10.475153 12.910926
2025-03-02 4.128337 4.892871 5.840933 7.133614 8.902284 11.323855 15.063256
2025-03-09 3.733562 4.526406 5.545845 6.997984 9.096667 12.173006 17.373971
2025-03-16 3.458767 4.272927 5.352149 6.948518 9.370785 13.152735 20.137914
2025-03-23 3.308419 4.162921 5.330167 7.123745 9.986623 14.772092 24.552191
2025-03-30 3.069925 3.908667 5.076927 6.917833 9.958900 15.291432 27.036520
2025-04-06 2.863520 3.682113 4.841220 6.707511 9.884296 15.698953 29.434902
2025-04-13 2.684944 3.482007 4.626817 6.505251 9.789239 16.040114 31.822712
2025-04-20 2.560179 3.350783 4.503962 6.435728 9.914957 16.840213 35.769200
2025-04-27 2.504358 3.315854 4.522918 6.599641 10.489152 18.714636 43.907813
2025-05-04 2.458739 3.292206 4.555931 6.788576 11.139809 20.948725 55.123976
2025-05-11 2.365131 3.197559 4.480799 6.801351 11.488327 22.701020 67.161472
2025-05-18 2.291280 3.130204 4.447010 6.890362 12.028565 25.208026 86.865951
2025-05-25 2.170778 2.982634 4.269729 6.692595 11.906204 25.838769 98.262457
2025-06-01 2.074337 2.867611 4.138753 6.569120 11.932298 26.940361 115.495215
2025-06-08 1.999626 2.782978 4.053116 6.524079 12.134677 28.701415 143.492514
2025-06-15 1.964394 2.759575 4.070299 6.683544 12.866476 32.653786 212.839423
2025-06-22 1.877291 2.647049 3.924268 6.496135 12.685162 33.182573 245.949595
2025-06-29 1.795561 2.539886 3.781918 6.304455 12.464996 33.497854 280.922302
2025-07-06 1.720265 2.440338 3.648029 6.119871 12.238223 33.723280 319.977011
2025-07-13 1.667478 2.376086 3.574102 6.056367 12.333921 35.415435 420.475611
2025-07-20 1.648034 2.366606 3.598432 6.206043 13.057577 40.484303 803.293159